Jump to content

Cinebrate-web-banner-728x90


Welcome to the BoxOffice® Forums
Register now to gain access to all of our features. Once registered and logged in, you will be able to create topics, post replies to existing threads, give reputation to your fellow members, get your own private messenger, post status updates, manage your profile and so much more. This message will be removed once you have signed in. Please note that forum accounts are separate from BoxOffice.com subscriber accounts.
Login to Account Create an Account
Photo

Changing of the Box Office Guard (Conclusion): The 2013 Sci-Fi Surge Led By STAR TREK INTO DARKNESS


  • Please log in to reply
4 replies to this topic

#1
ShawnMR

ShawnMR

  • Forum Admin / Not Zach G.
  • 13,484 posts
Full Article: http://www.boxoffice...-fantasy-part-2

On Monday, we dissected the recent and upcoming slate of fantasy movies that have generated some of Hollywood's big bucks over the past decade. With most of the big franchises having ended and/or peaked for now, fantasy has some competition from its younger sibling: science fiction. While many fans of the two genres crossover, 2013 is poised to showcase the financial potential of sci-fi better than ever.

We can pinpoint sci-fi's current era of ascension in 2009. No, not just with Avatar--but that's playing an influential role of its own. Rather, until May of that year it was nigh unfathomable (outside of the film's creators) that a Star Trek movie could ever be a blockbuster player at the box office. J.J. Abrams' reboot of the franchise became exactly that, excelling in a creative arena where some critics feel that the Star Wars prequels (a hybrid of fantasy and sci-fi themselves) didn't between 1999 and 2005.

Later in the summer of 2009, director Neil Blomkamp and producer Peter Jackson further broke the mold with District 9. That R-rated sci-fi flick became one of the biggest sleeper hits in recent memory despite its fairly esoteric subject matter that probably would have doomed it to "development hell"--or, at best, direct-to-video life--in the 1980s and 90s.

James Cameron then returned to the genre he helped shape with Aliens and the Terminatorfranchise by delivering the biggest earner in box office history. Again. As the movie that ignited the 3D craze and sparked the next step in CG effects, Avatar's success speaks for itself.

2010 saw Christopher Nolan bend audiences' minds with Inception--another high concept sci-fi story that, had it been more ahead of its time, may not have found the same commercial embrace. It became a poster movie for water cooler talk. Even 2010's Tron: Legacy, while not quite the domestic blockbuster Disney hoped for, was a modest success compared to 1982's more humble, cult-driven Tron. (A third film is officially in the works.)

The last couple of years have been more quiet on the sci-fi front other than last year's Prometheus, a modest domestic performer with slightly stronger overseas results.

But 2013 is set to bring the genre back in a huge way...


TASM2 (90/215) | Neighbors (35/139) | MDA (15/70) | Godzilla (77/240) | DoFP (120 4-day/277)

 

"It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data. Insensibly, one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts." - Sherlock Holmes


"Nobody in life gets exactly what they thought they were going to get. But if you work really hard and you're kind, amazing things will happen." - Conan O'Brien


#2
CJohn

CJohn

    Global Phenomenon

  • Topic Moderator
  • 31,891 posts
  • LocationPortugal
If Gravity and Ender's Game are being counted as high profile for sci-fi, then I am not sure why Percy Jackson 2, Beautiful Creatures, Mortal Instruments and Seventh Son aren't for fantasy.

Edited by CJohn, 23 January 2013 - 10:20 AM.

Survivor Winner: Season 2 and Season 3!

#3
stuart360

stuart360

    Box Office Gold

  • Member
  • PipPipPip
  • 2,084 posts
I remember people used to talk about this back on Mojo and i never understood it then. Look at the top 50 biggest films list and its full of Sci Fi films, look at most years and 1 or more sci-fi film will be up there with the biggest films of the year and its been like that since Star Wars more or less!.

You see people on here say things like "'x' film won't make 'x' amount because its a sci-fi film" and i'm like wtf?.

Sci-Fi films make just as much money as any other genre, more so for big summer blockbusters.
THIS TIME ITS WAR!
Posted Image

#4
Neo

Neo

    Global Phenomenon

  • Archives & News Manager
  • 35,146 posts
Elysium will be this year's D9 with some extra money to be made.

PAC RIM could do Inception numbers.

Nothing will touch Avatar

Oblivion could breakout but nothing major.

AE will do 100M+ but not much more.

Ender's Game will struggle to find an audience as will Gravity, but should both break the 100M barrier.

You need to check into rehab if you think TA2 isn't going to make a dent in AVATAR 2's box office.. You are stoned dude and need to step back and re-evaluate what your saying... :sherlock: 

it ll be striving make half of what first one did

 

AVATAR 2  At best will do around 475-500M Domestic

VII Predictions


#5
ShawnMR

ShawnMR

  • Forum Admin / Not Zach G.
  • 13,484 posts

If Gravity and Ender's Game are being counted as high profile for sci-fi, then I am not sure why Percy Jackson 2, Beautiful Creatures, Mortal Instruments and Seventh Son aren't for fantasy.


MI is more of a hybrid film, not strictly fantasy. Seventh Son and Percy were mentioned in the fantasy article on Monday but the general consensus so far is that neither have the kind box office potential that Oz and/or Jack could. Beautiful Creatures looks like Dark Shadows with an even smaller audience... :P

Edited by ShawnMR, 23 January 2013 - 10:50 AM.

TASM2 (90/215) | Neighbors (35/139) | MDA (15/70) | Godzilla (77/240) | DoFP (120 4-day/277)

 

"It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data. Insensibly, one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts." - Sherlock Holmes


"Nobody in life gets exactly what they thought they were going to get. But if you work really hard and you're kind, amazing things will happen." - Conan O'Brien



0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users