17 replies to this topic

[ShawnMR]

http://www.boxoffice...he-hobbit-stand

The holiday movie-going season is in its early stages right now, and all eyes are slowly turning toward the looming release of The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey on December 14. Early reports today suggest that the film ate up 33 percent of Fandango sales on Wednesday, overtaking both Skyfall and next week'sTwilight finale for #1 on the popular ticketing site.

What will surely be the year's final mega-blockbuster has a lot to live up to. That's not just because of the weight of history it carries fromThe Lord of the Rings trilogy, but also because of the fact that 2012 - while hit and miss overall at the box office - has already produced three huge blockbusters. As the first to ever generate three $400+ million grossing films domestically, one might say this year has gone on an unexpected journey itself. Can The Hobbit live up to and carry on that namesake?

As a bit of advance Twitter tracking, let's check out where this year's biggest films stood in the social media circle 6 weeks out from their release.

Edited by ShawnMR, 08 November 2012 - 10:14 AM.

[JackO]

Hobbit is dropping like a rock on HSX.

[fishnets]

Hobbit is dropping like a rock on HSX.

Rightly so. Spots are fuckin terrible. They oversell unfunny comedy by people in a really bad make-up and now LOTR fans who didn`t read the book know that it has different set of characters. We wouldn`t have this thread if it didn`t ride LOTR coattails. If it was the first movie in a series eevryone would admit that it looks shitty.

[ShawnMR]

Hobbit overtook Twilight for #1 on Fandango sales yesterday with 33 percent.

[fishnets]

Fanboy rush. It`ll die down.

[ShawnMR]

Hobbit is dropping like a rock on HSX.

More money for the rest of us to make.

[Telemachos]

Hobbit is dropping like a rock on HSX.

People are just leaping at that ComingSoon OW guesstimate. HSX peeps are like lemmings, and they wildly overreact.

[JackO]

People are just leaping at that ComingSoon OW guesstimate. HSX peeps are like lemmings, and they wildly overreact.

Good.

[Jam90]

I think it will come 2nd for the year behind avengers beat DKR by a small margin.

[baumer]

I really don't like the trailers.

[Gopher]

Awareness is huge and I think families will dig it (remember Phantom Menace) but nothing they're showing us so far has resonated with me since last December's teaser. I'd like to give Jackson the benefit of a doubt though.

[CloneWars]

The Hobbit will break out. I can't wait for December 14th to come soon enough so I can tell all the doubters, I told you so.

[victoriastone14]

Still Twilight is on the way!!!

[fishnets]

It won`t be the year`s biggets and it certianly won`t be one of year`s best. The latter you can take to the bank.

Edited by fishnets, 09 November 2012 - 04:34 AM.

[delfra]

The Hobbit will break out. I can't wait for December 14th to come soon enough so I can tell all the doubters, I told you so.

LOL, man you are absolutely high. There is no way "The Hobbit" will take in 600 million domestically and 2 billion worldwide, talk about a rediculous fanboy's aspirations. And it definantly won't be opening to 180 million it's opening weekend, i'll wager you a bet on those 3 predictions you made and i mean it. Now that being said, do i think "The Hobbit" will be a big hit at the box office, absolutely but let's not get carried away like you are my friend. Here's a fishing pole, reel those unrealistic fantastical numbers back in, haha. Here's what i see possibly for "The Hobbit". 100-125 million opening, remember this is December, not March,May or July, and no film has ever opened to 100 million in December, none of the "Lord Of The Rings" films, not even "Avatar". I'm going a little on a limb predicting "The Hobbit" will open with 100-125 million, but i think it can. Domestic i see 350-400 million and 1-1.1 billion, it will be a huge hit but let's not get besides ourselves with unrealistic rediculous predictions. And remember while popular, "The Hobbit" was not as iconic and beloved as "The Lord Of The Rings" books we're, those reasons explains my point. I do my homework and i know my s..., i've been following box office numbers for years, decades actually. But i understand that some people like you don't really understand box office numbers and they just throw crazy predictions out there, i see it all the time so this is nothing new.

Edited by delfra, 11 November 2012 - 03:28 AM.

[firedeep]

[FTF]

It won`t be the year`s biggets and it certianly won`t be one of year`s best. The latter you can take to the bank.

No offense, but you're so jaded and biased on anything LOTR that nothing you say can be viewed as valid or taken seriously. I mean just in this thread for example, bad makeup? lol hard at that and you clinging to desperate hope this is a bad movie and fails bo wise, the latter which is a slim to none chance at best, and the former akin to BKB and TDKR.

[JackO]

Hobbit stock turned a corner. Started going back up a few days ago but still far away from it's previous heights.