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Japan Box Office - WKND Forecast (Rurouni Kenshin; Guardians), Kenshin Biggest OW of the Year


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#8881
catlover

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I enjoyed Rurôni Kenshin: Densetsu no saigo-hen a lot. It's doing well here in the Philippines.

 

You've seen the 3rd one? Lucky you! The 2nd movie is doing well here too. But the 3rd one hasn't been released yet. Can't wait to see it.



#8882
eren jaeger

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Weekend Ranking (10/04-05)

 

01 (01) Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.) Week 4
02 (--) A Samurai Chronicle (Toho) DEBUT
03 (03) Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) Week 9
04 (02) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Fox) Week 3
05 (04) Lupin III (Toho) Week 6
06 (05) Guardians of the Galaxy (Disney) Week 4
07 (07) Jersey Boys (Warner Bros.) Week 2
08 (06) Revenge of the Pomegranate Hill Tree (Shochiku) Week 3
09 (08) Lady Maiko (Toho) Week 4
10 (09) Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno (Warner Bros.) Week 10

>Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends wins its 4th-consecutive weekend, earning ¥177,435,300 ($1.6 million) on 131,747 admissions. After 4-weeks in release, the final film in the Rurouni Kenshin trilogy has earned more than ¥3.4 billion ($32.7 million) on 2.72 million admissions.

>A Samurai Chronicle settles for second place, but came quite close to the #1 spot. The very well-received film took in ¥153,624,900 ($1.4 million) on 128,647 admissions on 330 screens. The avg. ticket price was low, coming in at just ¥1,194 ($11.1), or about 9% below this year's estimated average. And this is because 50+ year olds made up over 40% of its audience. Since it's been well-received, and is skewing old, it's likely to have excellent legs.

>Stand By Me, Doraemon is still holding on strong, achieving its 9th-straight week in the Top 3. It has exceeded ¥7.7 billion ($75 million) after 9-weeks in release, and became the highest-grossing non-Ghibli/Disney animated film ever (and has beaten a number of Ghibli/Disney films now, too).

>Dawn of the Planet of the Apes slips 2 spots to rank 4th over the weekend. After 3-weeks in release, it has exceeded ¥1 billion ($9.5 million) on 790,000 admissions. At its current pace, it's only going to earn 55-60% of its predecessor's total.

>Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno has been confirmed to have ranked 10th for the weekend, accomplishing a 10th-straight week in the Top 10. This is an incredible feat, and it's very close now to becoming Warner Bros.'s biggest domestic film ever, too. It's less than ¥70 million away now from surpassing 2006's Death Note: The Last Name.


SEID IHR DAS ESSEN, NEIN WIR SIND DER JAEGER


#8883
eren jaeger

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Naruto Manga to Conclude in 5 Weeks

The official website of Shueisha's Weekly Shonen Jump announced today on October 6 that Masashi Kishimoto's long-running ninja action manga Naruto will end its serialization for 15 years on the magazine's 50th issue to be published in Japan on November 10. It means that the manga only has five chapters left.

Naruto started its serialization in 1999, and has published 70 tankobon volumes so far. The latest 71st volume is scheduled to be published in Japan on November 4. And its newest anime film adaptation, meaningfully titled The Last: Naruto the Movie, will be released on December 6. -CR


Definitely one of the most iconic and most successful manga/anime series out there, and while the storyline has become really dragged out over the past few years, it's sad to see it coming to an end so soon.

And it'll be very interesting to see the first week sales of the last two manga volumes, the final one in particular (being released early next year), and also how the the recently announced The Last: Naruto the Movie opening on December 6th performs in theaters with this news.

Naruto By The Numbers:

>135 million Copies Sold (#7 All-Time)
>72 or 73 Volumes (Currently 70 in print)
>699 or 700 Chapters (Final chapter may be a double chapter)
>600+ Anime Episodes (Not including a 51 episode spin-off series)

>10 Feature Films

Best Selling Manga Series (As of May 2014) [Japan Only]:

305 million (74 Volumes) - One Piece (1997-)
200 million (171 Volumes) - Golgo 13 (1969-)
176 million (17 Volumes) - Black Jack (1973-1983)
157 million (42 Volumes) - Dragon Ball (1984-1995)
155 million (190 Volumes) - Kochikame (1976-)
140 million (84 Volumes) - Detective Conan (1994-)
136 million (69 Volumes) - Naruto (1999-)
130 million (110 Volumes) - Oishinbo (1983-)
120 million (31 Volumes) - Slam Dunk (1990-1996)
110 million (45 Volumes) - Doraemon (1969-1996)
100 million (23 Volumes) - Astro Boy (1952-1968)
100 million (26 Volumes) - Touch (1981-1986)
100 million (27 Volumes) - Fist of the North (1983-1988)
100 million copies+


SEID IHR DAS ESSEN, NEIN WIR SIND DER JAEGER


#8884
eren jaeger

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It's been revealed that to mark the ending of Naruto, manga creator, Masashi Kishimoto, was responsible for the the original story, character designs, and serves as chief story supervisor of the last film.

Having Eiichiro Oda (creator of One Piece) supervise the recent One Piece movies proved to be massive for the box-office, with both films (Strong World and Z) having broken various opening weekend records and earning 5/6x more than any of the previous films in the series. One Piece Film Z in particular has the biggest opening weekend in terms of gross and admissions since 2007, selling out 72% of all its seats opening weekend.

So having Masashi Kishimoto on board for the first time and for the the final Naruto film, and with him ending the manga right before the film opens, could result in one of the biggest opening weekends of the year (if not the biggest). It's bound to tie in with the ending of the manga in some form. I'm sure they'll be a freebie announced for those that attend the film, too.


SEID IHR DAS ESSEN, NEIN WIR SIND DER JAEGER


#8885
eren jaeger

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Weekend Estimates (10/11-12)

01 (--) ¥180 million ($1.6 million), 0, ¥180 million ($1.6 million), Close Range Love (Toho) NEW
02 (--) ¥145 million ($1.4 million), 0, ¥145 million ($1.4 million), Cape Nostalgia (Toei) NEW

03 (01) ¥136 million ($1.3 million), -23%, ¥3.81 billion ($35.8 million), Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.) Week 5
04 (02) ¥104 million ($1.0 million), -32%, ¥450 million ($4.2 million), A Samurai Chronicle (Toho) Week 2
05 (--) ¥100 million ($0.95 million), 0, ¥100 million ($0.95 million), HappinessCharge Pretty Cure! The Ballerina of the Land of Dolls (Toei) NEW
06 (03) ¥69 million ($0.65 million), -31%, ¥7.84 billion ($75.9 million), Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) Week 10
07 (04) ¥64 million ($0.60 million), -31%, ¥1.19 billion ($10.7 million), Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Fox) Week 4
08 (05) ¥39 million ($0.36 million), -32%, ¥2.27 billion ($21.6 million), Lupin III (Toho) Week 7
09 (06) ¥35 million ($0.32 million), -27%, ¥950 million ($8.9 million), Guardians of the Galaxy (Disney) Week 5
10 (07) ¥29 million ($0.26 million), -22%, ¥230 million ($2.1 million), Jersey Boys (Warner Bros.) Week 3

>Close Range Love, the feature film adaptation of the TV show, opened quite well according to estimates (which could be a bit off this weekend due to the weather). If the estimate holds, or even improves, it has a good chance of reaching the ¥1 billion milestone (about $10 million), which is solid for any October release.

>2nd place is close between the debut of Cape Nostalgia (finally a decent showing for a live-action Toei film) and the 5th weekend of Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends which was finally dethroned. Assuming the former skewed older, I think the two could see an admissions/gross split for 2nd/3rd.

>And the final debut, the 11th film in the Pretty Cure (Precure) franchise, did pretty awful business. It looks to be down around 50% (or more) compared to the openings of its predecessors from the past couple years. I'm not familiar with the series, but this is the first "HappinessCharge" film in the franchise to my knowledge, so perhaps that brand isn't nearly as popular as the "All Star" brand.

SEID IHR DAS ESSEN, NEIN WIR SIND DER JAEGER


#8886
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Can guardians reach 10 million now? What are its chances? I don't know much about rhe Japanese box office but it seems to me that it's going to end up at 9.7-9.8 Million.

Edited by Infernus, 16 October 2014 - 01:46 AM.


#8887
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Can guardians reach 10 million now? What are its chances? I don't know much about the Japanese box office but it seems to me that it's going to end up at 9.7-9.8Million.

Edited by Infernus, 16 October 2014 - 01:42 AM.


#8888
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Sorry for the double posts. It seems whenever I use a mobile to post it posts it twice.

#8889
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Can guardians reach 10 million now? What are its chances? I don't know much about the Japanese box office but it seems to me that it's going to end up at 9.7-9.8Million.

 

It can certainly reach ¥1 billion. Dunno about $10 million



#8890
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Oct. 11–12 9 $314,328 -28.7% 538 -52 $584 $9,009,908 5

 

$10M is likely if BOM is accurate.



#8891
aDIM Stormborn

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Did Maleficent end up managing 5m admissions or fall just shy?

15ib194.jpg

 

DAME 2014: When will your faves?


#8892
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Did Maleficent end up managing 5m admissions or fall just shy?

So close but didn't make it.

Top Grossing Films - 2014 
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days in Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥25.45 billion ($249.4 million) / 20.02 million [E] - Frozen (Disney) #3 All-Time
¥10 billion ↨
¥8.74 billion ($84.9 million) / 7.15 million [F] - The Eternal Zero (Toho) #47 All-Time
¥7.90 billion ($76.4 million) / 5.96 million [66] - Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) #58 All-Time
¥6.52 billion ($63.6 million) / 4.97 million [E] - Maleficent (Disney) #82 All-Time
¥5.17 billion ($49.5 million) / 3.98 million [73] - Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno (Warner Bros.) #119 All-Time

¥5 billion ↨
¥4.43 billion ($43.5 million) / 3.46 million [F] - Thermae Romae II (Toho) #149 All-Tme
¥4.25 billion ($41.2 million) / 3.55 million [F] - Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (Toho)
¥4.09 billion ($40.1 million) / 3.29 million [F] - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho)
¥3.76 billion ($35.3 million) / 2.94 million [31] - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.)
¥3.58 billion ($35.1 million) / 3.27 million [F] - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (Toho)
¥3.42 billion ($33.1 million) / 2.73 million [E] - Memories of Marnie (Toho)
¥3.17 billion ($30.6 million) / 2.06 million [F] - Gravity (Warner Bros.)
¥3.13 billion ($30.5 million) / 2.19 million [E] - Godzilla (Toho)
¥3.10 billion ($30.3 million) / 2.04 million [F] - The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (Sony)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.87 billion ($27.8 million) / 1.87 million [E] - Transformers: Age of Extinction (Paramount)
¥2.80 billion ($27.3 million) / 2.60 million [E] - Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (Toho)
¥2.47 billion ($23.9 million) / 2.05 million [F] - The Tale of Princess Kaguya (Toho)
¥2.42 billion ($22.5 million) / 1.86 million [58] - Hot Road (Shochiku)
¥2.27 billion ($21.5 million) / 1.78 million [44] - Lupin III (Toho)
¥2.19 billion ($21.2 million) / 1.73 million [F] - The Mole Song: Undercover Agent Reiji (Toho)
¥2.15 billion ($20.7 million) / 1.69 million [F] - Partners the Movie 3 (Toei)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.82 billion ($17.6 million) / 1.52 million [F] - Crayon Shin-chan: Serious Battle! Robot Dad Strikes (Toho)
¥1.80 billion ($17.4 million) / 1.39 million [F] - Trick: The Last Stage (Toho)
¥1.76 billion ($17.0 million) / 1.45 million [E] - The Liar and His Lover (Toho)
¥1.58 billion ($15.5 million) / 1.11 million [E] - Edge of Tomorrow (Paramount)
¥1.51 billion ($14.8 million) / 1.26 million [F] - I Want to Hold You (Toho)
¥1.50 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.20 million [F] - Mission Impossible: Samurai (Shochiku)
¥1.40 billion ($13.6 million) / 1.08 million [E] - The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Warner Bros.)
¥1.35 billion ($13.0 million) / 1.10 million [F] - Noah (Paramount)
¥1.19 billion ($10.9 million) / 0.91 million [23] - Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Fox)
¥1.14 billion ($11.1 million) / 1.04 million [E] - The Little House (Shochiku)
¥1.14 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.95 million [F] - Planes (Disney)
¥1.14 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.85 million [F] - Crows: Explode (Toho)
¥1.10 billion ($10.8 million) / 0.85 million [F] - A Bolt from the Blue (Toho)
¥1.07 billion ($10.5 million) / 0.88 million [E] - Say, "I Love You" (Shochiku)
¥1.05 billion ($10.3 million) / 0.78 million [F] - X-Men: Days of Future Past (Fox)
¥1.02 billion ($9.9 million) / 0.85 million [E] - Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Gaim & Wizard (Toei)
¥1.01 billion ($9.8 million) / 0.79 million [F] - The Secret Life of Walter Mitty (Fox)
¥1.00 billion ($9.8 million) / 0.82 million [E] - Heisei Rider vs. Showa Rider: Kamen Rider Taisen feat. Super Sentai (Toei)
¥1.00 billion ($9.4 million) / 0.74 million [44] - Lucy (Toho-Towa)

¥1 billion ↑

[E] = End of Tracking
[F] = Final Estimate/Total Released



#8893
eren jaeger

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Weekend Forecast (10/18-19)

01 (--) ¥145 million ($1.3 million), 0, ¥145 million ($1.3 million), Grace of Monaco (Gaga) NEW
02 (01) ¥123 million ($1.2 million), -31%, ¥530 million ($5.1 million), Close Range Love (Toho) Week 2
03 (02) ¥114 million ($1.1 million), -35%, ¥510 million ($4.9 million), Cape Nostalgia (Toei) Week 2
04 (03) ¥100 million ($0.94 million), -30%, ¥4.05 billion ($38.1 million), Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.) Week 6
05 (04) ¥79 million ($0.74 million), -26%, ¥705 million ($6.6 million), A Samurai Chronicle (Toho) Week 3
06 (--) ¥75 million ($0.71 million), 0, ¥75 million ($0.71 million), Disconcerto (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) NEW
07 (05) ¥72 million ($0.68 million), -28%, ¥270 million ($2.5 million), HappinessCharge Precure! The Ballerina of the Land of Dolls (Toei) Week 2
08 (06) ¥51 million ($0.48 million), -30%, ¥8.00 billion ($77.2 million), Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho) Week 11
09 (07) ¥45 million ($0.42 million), -33%, ¥1.31 billion ($12.0 million), Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Fox) Week 5
10 (08) ¥28 million ($0.26 million), -34%, ¥2.35 billion ($22.1 million), Lupin III (Toho) Week 8

>Grace of Monaco will benefit from a weak market place, and has a great shot at debuting atop the box-office. It's morning/afternoon ticket sales were outpacing Close Range Love and Cape Nostalgia, but they're reasonably close so it may be a 3-way race for the top spot over the weekend.

Japan should have little trouble becoming Grace of Monaco's best foreign market (maybe overall market since it doesn't have a US release still...) given its dismal performance everywhere else.

Other than that, another dull October with nothing else too interesting besides Stand By Me, Doraemon either coming really, really close to or exceeding the ¥8 billion ($77 million) mark this weekend, its 11th-consecutive week in the Top 10. It'll be the first non-Ghibli/Disney animated film to ever reach the milestone.

This is probably going to be the weakest weekend of the year. I'm hoping one of the limited release surprises and can make the Top 10 to make things a little more interesting.

SEID IHR DAS ESSEN, NEIN WIR SIND DER JAEGER


#8894
Rsyu

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Upcoming Release Schedule - November 2014

(Major Studio & Notable Releases Only)

01st
The Expendables 3 (Shochiku)
Beauty and the Beast (Gaga)
Son of a Gun (Kadokawa)
Nymphomaniac:. Vol II (Broad Media Studios)

07th
Sabotage (Broad Media Studios)

08th
Twilight Sasara Saya (Warner Bros.)
The Guest (Showgate)

14th
Boyhood (Toho-Towa)

15th
As the Gods Will (Toho)
Paper Moon (Shochiku)

21st
Journey to the West (Nikkatsu, Toho-Towa)
Runner Runner (Presido)

22nd
Interstellar (Warner Bros.)
Attack on Titan Special Part 1: Crimson Bow and Arrow (Toho)
Miracle: Devil Claus' Love and Magic (Toho, Asmik Ace)

28th
Fury (Kadokawa)

29th
Parasyte Part 1 (Toho) *dir. Takashi Yamazaki*


Predictions: 
¥4.00-5.00 billion ($40-50 million) - Parasyte Part 1 (Toho) *dir. Takashi Yamazaki*
¥3.00-3.50 billion ($30-35 million) - Interstellar (Warner Bros.)
¥2.25-2.50 billion ($22-25 million) - As the Gods Will (Toho)
¥2.00-2.50 billion ($20-25 million) - Attack on Titan Special Part 1: Crimson Bow and Arrow (Toho)
¥1.75-2.00 billion ($17-20 million) - Miracle: Devil Claus' Love and Magic (Toho, Asmik Ace)
¥1.00-1.25 billion ($10-12 million) - Twilight Sasara Saya (Warner Bros.)
¥500 million+ ($5 million) - The Expendables 3 (Shochiku), Paper Moon (Shochiku), Journey to the West (Nikkatsu, Toho-Towa), Boyhood (Toho-Towa), Fury (Kadokawa)

 

[source:wokj]


Top anticipated movies of 2014: 1. Interstellar 2. HTTYD2 3. The Battle of the five amies 4. Big hero six 5. Dawn of the planet of the Apes


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