Jump to content

Cinebrate-web-banner-728x90


  • Start New Topic
Welcome to the BoxOffice® Forums
Register now to gain access to all of our features. Once registered and logged in, you will be able to create topics, post replies to existing threads, give reputation to your fellow members, get your own private messenger, post status updates, manage your profile and so much more. This message will be removed once you have signed in. Please note that forum accounts are separate from BoxOffice.com subscriber accounts.
Login to Account Create an Account
Photo

Social Network Futures: Will ELYSIUM Repeat Past Success for Writer/Director Neill Blomkamp?


  • Please log in to reply
22 replies to this topic

#1
ShawnMR

ShawnMR

  • Forum Admin
  • 14,373 posts
  • Joined November 04, 2011
  • 462 topics

Four years ago, young filmmaker Neill Blomkamp burst onto the scene with his wildly successful low-budget sci-fi flick,District 9. That movie banked an incredible $115.7 million domestic ($208 million global) run on a mere $63 million budget (including estimated marketing costs). Ever since, moviegoers and the industry alike have waited for his follow-up movie.

 

As another original story with an R-rating, Elysium certainly has some work ahead of it. But unlike Blomkamp's debut, this one has some help in the marketing department with a recognizable cast led by a proven, veteran leading man in Matt Damon (who drove another sci-fi flick, The Adjustment Bureau,to solid returns in 2011).

 

Add to that Sony's "It's better up there" viral marketing campaign advertised across various websites this summer, and you get an unknown property whose advance awareness is reaching closer to Inception than Pacific Rim levels.

 

Moreover, where District 9 faced direct competition from Quentin Tarantino's Inglourious Basterds one week later in August 2009, Elysium faces a weaker slate in August (aside from 2 Guns, opening one week earlier). But as we've seen recently with films like the well-regarded Source Code, it's still no walk in the park for an unknown title to make a splash at the box office.

 

That being said, Elysium's Twitter activity performed 16 percent ahead of... (more)

 

Full article: http://www.boxoffice...futures-elysium


Edited by ShawnMR, 17 July 2013 - 08:04 AM.

"It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data. Insensibly, one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts." - Sherlock Holmes

 

"Nobody in life gets exactly what they thought they were going to get. But if you work really hard and you're kind, amazing things will happen." - Conan O'Brien


#2
lab276

lab276

    Global Phenomenon

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 12,405 posts
  • Joined November 08, 2011
  • 41 topics
  • LocationSydney
I think it will.

#3
CJohn

CJohn

    Global Phenomenon

  • General Moderator
  • 39,016 posts
  • Joined November 08, 2011
  • 572 topics
  • LocationPortugal

I hope it will. I am thinking on 38/125 right now.


Next 4 Weeks Predictions (Updates on Mondays and Thursdays):

The Maze Runner - 32/101 | A Walk Among the Tombstones - 16/51 | This is Where I Leave You - 9/28

- The Equalizer - 34/103 | The Boxtrolls - 9/27

- Annabelle - 44/86 | Gone Girl - 24/82

- Disney's Alexander - 16/53 | The Judge - 11/35 | Dracula Untold - 20/50


#4
tonytr87

tonytr87

    Box Office Gold

  • Member
  • PipPipPip
  • 3,760 posts
  • Joined November 10, 2011
  • 3 topics
  • LocationDallas, Texas

That 30/90 predict is conservative. There's nothing else for anyone to watch (that isn't a kids flick) in August, at least nothing with any sort of buzz. 


Edited by tonytr87, 17 July 2013 - 08:32 AM.

Dawn of the Apes - A / The Lego Movie - A / Neighbors - A- / The Rover - A- / X-men: Days of Future Past - A- / Boyhood - B+ / Godzilla - B+                       Edge of Tomorrow - B+ / Captain America: The Winter Soldier - B+ / Under the Skin - B / Guardians of the Galaxy - B / 22 Jump Street - B / Noah - B     Robocop - B- / Transformers: Age of Extinction - B- / TMNT - C+ / Divergent - C+ / That Awkward Moment - C+ / The Amazing Spider-man 2 - C  

The Monuments Men - C / Maleficent - C / Transcendence - C- / Blended - D+ / Ride Along - D

 

#5
Sucker Punch

Sucker Punch

    Straight-to-DVD

  • Member
  • Pip
  • 66 posts
  • Joined May 31, 2013
  • 0 topics

That 30/90 predict is conservative. There's nothing else for anyone to watch (that isn't a kids flick) in August, at least nothing with any sort of buzz.

It's okay to be conservative sometimes. The trailer offered good photography/visuals and commie angle, but not much else. Could bleed its potential audience to 2 Guns and WTM, which both look more appealing to GA.

#6
Cmasterclay

Cmasterclay

    Box Office Gold

  • Member
  • PipPipPip
  • 4,058 posts
  • Joined November 08, 2011
  • 17 topics
  • LocationMiami/Washington D.C

It has a ton of good going for it that could lead to a breakout- great trailers, interesting and controversial topic, big star, the reception to D9, good advertising campaign. 40 OW and 125+ total seems certainly in the offing. But one thing is holding me back- sci fi fatigue. When I saw PR with my best friend, who isn't a sci fi fan and goes mainly for comedies, the trailer for this came on and he said "not another fucking space movie." And another of my best friends said it looks really good, but he just can't do it with all these sci fi films anymore. This past year has seen an explosion of genre sci fi films, and it could hurt. It won't kill it, but it could put a cap on the potential. Still, I see it doing at the least the 30/90 predicted by bo.com


IFFFFF YOU SMELLLLLLLLLL......WHAT THE CLAY.......IS........COOKIN!

#7
TMP

TMP

    Indie Sensation

  • Member
  • PipPip
  • 340 posts
  • Joined July 01, 2013
  • 1 topics

If this film is as good as the trailers make it look, and flops, then I'll give up on the GA.


gif_327x150_3f94b9.gif


#8
lab276

lab276

    Global Phenomenon

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 12,405 posts
  • Joined November 08, 2011
  • 41 topics
  • LocationSydney

If this film is as good as the trailers make it look, and flops, then I'll give up on the GA.


People have been saying that since movies became a thing :P

#9
ChD

ChD

    Global Phenomenon

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 10,318 posts
  • Joined September 18, 2012
  • 59 topics
  • LocationHogwarts

I don't know what people see in that trailer. It's not that good at all... At least not in my eyes. But, whatever... I think it'll be around 80-90M finish, which is just fine. This is probably the "Only God Forgives" after "Drive Scenario". The trailers make it look so awesome but the end product is disappointing.


"You can have all the faith in spirits and the afterlife, heaven and hell, but when it comes to this world, don't be an idiot, because you can tell that you put your faith in God to get through the day, but when it comes time to cross the road, I know you look both ways."

 

"How happy is the blameless vestal's lot! The world forgetting, by the world forgot. Eternal sunshine of the spotless mind! Each prayer accepted, and each wish resigned."

 

35c3g42.jpg


#10
TMP

TMP

    Indie Sensation

  • Member
  • PipPip
  • 340 posts
  • Joined July 01, 2013
  • 1 topics

I don't know what people see in that trailer. It's not that good at all... At least not in my eyes. But, whatever... I think it'll be around 80-90M finish, which is just fine. This is probably the "Only God Forgives" after "Drive Scenario". The trailers make it look so awesome but the end product is disappointing.

I don't think this film will get panned by critics like Only God Forgives, mostly because OGF seems to be the most niche film of the year. But, you know, it's possible (but highly unlikely).


gif_327x150_3f94b9.gif


#11
infiniti

infiniti

    Straight-to-DVD

  • Member
  • Pip
  • 63 posts
  • Joined July 15, 2013
  • 0 topics

If this film is as good as the trailers make it look, and flops, then I'll give up on the GA.

trailers shown so far make Elysium look like a generic sci-fi like Oblivion. Show an exciting trailer for the audience and they will come. neill blomkamp fans been overhyping on the internet like its gonna do big business. I liked District 9 and Matt Damon, but im not impressed, doesn't look exciting.


Edited by infiniti, 17 July 2013 - 10:14 AM.


#12
grey ghost

grey ghost

    Blockbuster

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 5,791 posts
  • Joined November 08, 2011
  • 54 topics
People are underpredicting this after getting burnt by Pacific Rim but I think leftist populist message has wider appeal than PR or the ambiguous message.

The R-rating might hurt it though despite Damon's star power.

42/125

Gamble points at the Box Office Casino!

CLICK HERE


#13
ChD

ChD

    Global Phenomenon

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 10,318 posts
  • Joined September 18, 2012
  • 59 topics
  • LocationHogwarts

People are underpredicting this after getting burnt by Pacific Rim but I think leftist populist message has wider appeal than PR or the ambiguous message.

The R-rating might hurt it though despite Damon's star power.

42/125

Underpredicting? I think only half a dozen people predicted lower than you. Check the Elysium over 120M thread.


"You can have all the faith in spirits and the afterlife, heaven and hell, but when it comes to this world, don't be an idiot, because you can tell that you put your faith in God to get through the day, but when it comes time to cross the road, I know you look both ways."

 

"How happy is the blameless vestal's lot! The world forgetting, by the world forgot. Eternal sunshine of the spotless mind! Each prayer accepted, and each wish resigned."

 

35c3g42.jpg


#14
LadyEvenstar22

LadyEvenstar22

    Box Office Gold

  • Member
  • PipPipPip
  • 3,429 posts
  • Joined November 23, 2011
  • 17 topics
  • Locationlittle rock under the scorching sun, CARIBBEAN

ok i'll go check trailer on youtube , haven't heard about this movie, just clicked on this thread by accident 

didnt know district 9 director had a new film coming out ...


"It's a dangerous business, Frodo, going out your door. You step onto the road, and if you don't keep your feet, there's no knowing where you might be swept off to" LOTR (real fans watch the extended editions)

 

"it is not pleasant for me to say these things but i must tell you the truth while i can, proving myself your friend by the most faithful counsel trusting that sometimes you'll do my faith in you greater justice than you do it now" Mr Knightley to Emma

 

screen-shot-2014-04-17-at-10-36-03-am300


#15
Filmovie

Filmovie

    Indie Sensation

  • Member
  • PipPip
  • 246 posts
  • Joined November 30, 2012
  • 1 topics
  • LocationItaly

I Hope so


WINNER OF THE 7th BAUMER'S SUMMER GAME

 

I'm sorry for my English, I'll try to be as correct as I can.
Following BO every day since 2005.


#16
Ozymandias

Ozymandias

    Blockbuster

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 7,355 posts
  • Joined November 19, 2011
  • 6 topics
  • LocationSouth Florida

If only Eminem didn't turn down the lead role in Elysium, this would've been a shoe-in smash hit!

 

http://movies.yahoo....-171301697.html



#17
Jay Hollywood

Jay Hollywood

    Blockbuster

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 5,253 posts
  • Joined January 27, 2013
  • 13 topics
  • LocationNo Ho

Surprised you guys are going 30/90! 

 

I think it will end up closer to 50m then 30m. 


fc7d665b-06cd-4091-91d0-c45246c52fd1.jpg


#18
ACCA

ACCA

    Box Office Gold

  • Member
  • PipPipPip
  • 1,347 posts
  • Joined December 13, 2011
  • 0 topics

Well Shawn, based on your own analysis, you guys at BO.com should be predicting more than 30/90 ;).


- Top of 2014 -
Captain America: The Winter Soldier - Godzilla -  Guardians of the Galaxy - Transcendence - Non-Stop
 

- Most Anticipated 2014 -
Interstellar - The Hobbit Part 3 - Sin City: ADTKF - Dumb and Dumber To - The Equalizer - Exodus: Gods and Kings - A Walk Among The Tombstones - Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1


#19
BKB #1

BKB #1

    Global Phenomenon

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 12,168 posts
  • Joined November 16, 2011
  • 88 topics
  • LocationEagerly Awaiting The AVENGERS: AGE OF ULTRON With Less Than 1 Year Away

 

Four years ago, young filmmaker Neill Blomkamp burst onto the scene with his wildly successful low-budget sci-fi flick,District 9. That movie banked an incredible $115.7 million domestic ($208 million global) run on a mere $63 million budget (including estimated marketing costs). Ever since, moviegoers and the industry alike have waited for his follow-up movie.

 

As another original story with an R-rating, Elysium certainly has some work ahead of it. But unlike Blomkamp's debut, this one has some help in the marketing department with a recognizable cast led by a proven, veteran leading man in Matt Damon (who drove another sci-fi flick, The Adjustment Bureau,to solid returns in 2011).

 

Add to that Sony's "It's better up there" viral marketing campaign advertised across various websites this summer, and you get an unknown property whose advance awareness is reaching closer to Inception than Pacific Rim levels.

 

Moreover, where District 9 faced direct competition from Quentin Tarantino's Inglourious Basterds one week later in August 2009, Elysium faces a weaker slate in August (aside from 2 Guns, opening one week earlier). But as we've seen recently with films like the well-regarded Source Code, it's still no walk in the park for an unknown title to make a splash at the box office.

 

That being said, Elysium's Twitter activity performed 16 percent ahead of... (more)

 

Full article: http://www.boxoffice...futures-elysium

 

 

 

No.. Matt Damon or not, there isn't anything remotely interesting about this movie from what few TV Spots have been shown.. I predict this will be a disappointment and not do very well...


http://www.libertypages.com/clark/img/supermanflight.jpg

#20
Mattrek Loves Del Toro

Mattrek Loves Del Toro

    Blockbuster

  • Member
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 7,031 posts
  • Joined November 09, 2011
  • 55 topics
  • LocationVictoria
I think it will cross the 50m mark if not come close to it.
Box Office Total Game!

Put your box office knowledge to the test! Let's see who really is the best predictor on the site for the year! Come one come all!


0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users